The Bharatiya Janata Party under the leadership of Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi seems to have impressed rural voters throughout the country as the BJP is emerging as the most favoured party in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections.
According to the poll survey conducted by CVoter, the BJP is likely to bag highest ever seats crossing all its previous tallies. The survey predicts that BJP would emerge as the single largest party by winning 188 seats while the final results of NDA is likely to be close to 220 seats. The saffron party had bagged 116 seats in the 2009 general elections.
In 1999, BJP had won 182 seats. The survey also found that BJP may cross the psychologically important 30 per cent vote mark for the first ever time.
The survey was conducted in all 28 states and the findings suggest that BJP is emerging to be more strong in the Hindi heartland, especially in the states where the contest is primarily bipolar between the Congress and the BJP.
The CVoter survey predicts a complete meltdown of Congress in the Lok Sabha elections. According to the survey, if elections are held today, the Congress may go below the 100-mark.
Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa and Jharkhand are the states where Congress is likely to suffer humiliating defeat, according to the survey.
The findings reveal that the only face-savers for Congress would be Karnataka and Assam.
The survey rejects possibility of Aam Aadmi Party’s (AAP) impact on BJP though the AAP has given jitters to the BJP campaign in urban areas, its effect in rural India since the AAP wave is largely a middleclass and urban phenomenon, that too mostly in adjoining regions of Delhi NCR.
Another survey conducted by Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) predicts heavy gains for the BJP throughout the country.
The CSDS survey also predicts that BJP would get 41-49 of UP’s 80 seats (the highest among states). The ABP News-Nielsen poll predicts that BJP would win nearly 35 seats in the Lok Sabha elections.
The saffron party had won 10 seats in UP in 2009 Lok Sabha polls and the projected gains would be significant as it seeks to dethrone the Congress at the Centre.
The polls predict Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samaj Party to be reduced to 10 to 15 seats in Uttar Pradesh.
The survey predicts that the AAP is set to win 4-6 of the seven Lok Sabha seats in Delhi after its spectacular performance in the assembly polls.
In Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, the BJP will gain as well. According to CVoter-India Today poll, BJP will get 21 (4 in 2009) of the 25 seats in Rajasthan; and 22 (16 in 2009) of the 29 seats in MP.
The BJP had dethroned the Congress in Rajasthan with a landslide win and comfortably retained MP, with chief minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan scoring a hat-trick of wins.
The CVoter poll survey predicts saffron party to emerge as the biggest gainer in Bihar, where it lost ally Janata Dal (United) following Narendra Modi’s elevation as the prime ministerial candidate.
The poll said the BJP will get 22 seats as compared to 12 in 2009. The party will gain at the cost of chief minister Nitish Kumar.rsquo;s JD-U, which is projected to get 4 seats as compared to 20 in 2009.
The Lok Sabha elections are due by May this year.
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